Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.473053 6.279569e-01 0.805852 1.022206 1.275198 1.558805 1.897860
2025-04-20 0.262424 4.452023e-01 0.687715 1.018663 1.444563 1.961171 2.621906
2025-04-27 0.144486 3.241265e-01 0.601418 1.022688 1.610784 2.369940 3.390873
2025-05-04 0.069455 2.228882e-01 0.505065 0.983582 1.704718 2.688184 4.067841
2025-05-11 0.029266 1.504784e-01 0.423231 0.940122 1.776505 2.973489 4.713505
2025-05-18 0.012316 1.104873e-01 0.380670 0.945098 1.912772 3.350352 5.496554
2025-05-25 0.003363 7.423918e-02 0.326225 0.913013 1.981210 3.628105 6.150868
2025-06-01 0.001107 6.124194e-02 0.320334 0.969096 2.195532 4.129480 7.137559
2025-06-08 0.000100 4.427559e-02 0.292361 0.972572 2.317331 4.493632 7.937675
2025-06-15 0.000004 3.913953e-02 0.299081 1.050883 2.575063 5.077127 9.073864
2025-06-22 NaN 3.191882e-02 0.293171 1.098429 2.778973 5.582480 10.107719
2025-06-29 NaN 2.407939e-02 0.277796 1.119566 2.933756 6.013674 11.041147
2025-07-06 NaN 1.475747e-02 0.243984 1.088925 2.991383 6.296988 11.772474
2025-07-13 NaN 9.961298e-03 0.227447 1.099472 3.129223 6.717120 12.724046
2025-07-20 NaN 6.517190e-03 0.212754 1.111211 3.269165 7.144803 13.697180
2025-07-27 NaN 3.087940e-03 0.184323 1.073634 3.303200 7.393283 14.397743
2025-08-03 NaN 1.119101e-03 0.157000 1.029413 3.316908 7.604769 15.043191
2025-08-10 NaN 4.758547e-04 0.145700 1.035723 3.439519 8.008553 16.000128
2025-08-17 NaN 7.537172e-05 0.125537 1.002073 3.468788 8.246961 16.697091
2025-08-24 NaN 3.944895e-05 0.129033 1.062084 3.715875 8.881230 18.041559
2025-08-31 NaN 1.526919e-06 0.119518 1.065930 3.832083 9.282282 19.015882
2025-09-07 NaN 1.039746e-06 0.128084 1.149317 4.140263 10.038725 20.578365
2025-09-14 NaN 9.979893e-10 0.129134 1.199884 4.372456 10.661310 21.931540